The Hybrid Threat Monitor records publicly documented incidents of a possibly hybrid nature. The incidents are classified according to the JRC/Hybrid CoE model and assessed partly with AI support and partly by experts.
This map is a subjective assessment based on scientific rules. However, classifying incidents as “hybrid” for China, Russia, Iran and North Korea and as “irregular” for all other states is a working rule of the project, not a recognised definition. There is not yet a proper sample, so frequencies and trends cannot be transferred to reality. In addition, a forecast based on the available material is not yet statistically sound.
